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Liberal Iranian
Liberal as in Liberty and Freedom. Iranian as in Cyrus and Ferdowsi.
Friday, April 06, 2007
Gift of the Impudent Thief
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I intentionally did not make any comments during the recent hostage-taking crisis of British marines by Islamic Revolutionary Guards (IRG) of Iran. It was clear to me that the whole incident was staged by elements in the Iranian government. There were some clues, such as the initial "mistake" in the Iranian claimed position of the captured marines that was in Iraqi waters. But the people who could ultimately shed some light on the incident were captive and there was no hope that they would speak freely in captivitiy. Their "interviews" could not be trusted in the hands of a regime who has constantly forced even its most benign prisoners to confess to unimaginable crimes on TV since the begining of its existence. It was a well-calculated move by Iran, one that avoided a full clash with the US while sending a message that they could be a significant annoyance if they want to. I was particularly bothered by the continued state of inaction by the British and other European countries prior to the incident and their apparent puzzlement at the result of their irrational optimism toward unworthy actors in Iran's politics, the so-called "reformists."

But the ultimate insult came when after exploiting the staged situation for all its propaganda worth, Mr. Ahmadinejad announced that the marines are being released "as a gift" to the British people. It seems in the Islamic Republic's logic giving a gift is no different from returning stolen goods. This particularly persisting impudence is the essence of the Islamic Republic's existence.

Now that the marines are free and back home they can and are giving us a glimpse of their experience in captivity. As it appears, and I think the course of events is well explained by their statements, the marines refrained from a military engagement because they recognized the IRG was heavily equiped. Had they chosen differently they could have jeopardized not just their own lives but those of the people of Iran in the aftermath. Iran's foreign ministry spokesman claims these are "staged" statements. But what would the marines lose? Would they face an uncertain period of time apart from their families and loved ones? Would the costs of telling the truth be so high for them that not even one would confirm his or her statements made in Iran? Does the Iranian spokesman really expect the sane people of the free world to believe him instead of 15 free men and women?

Impudence indeed! 
You actually believe what those sailors are saying?
With tensions as high as they are something will happen. an Iranian (somewhere/sometime) military person will make a mistake and fire a missle or something like that. The US will be waiting, looking for an excuse and things will really get bad.

Why should I not? And if not, whom do you suggest we should believe?

If the US is intent on attacking Iran, it does not really need an excuse like that. Remember that no Iraqi mlitary person fired anything. What the US will need is an Iranian government that is not bound by its international commitments, or some intelligence showing that Iran will have nuclear weapons in a short time. But I think that even if the US is not intent on such an attack, these will be enough reason for them to become intent and to build a strong coallition.
Do I actually believe what those sailors are saying... YES. The lame attempt by Iranian politicians to convience the world of their version was laughable. Why does the west let them get away with it. It's like dealinfg with a mischievious child.
Q: When do you know Iranian politicians are lying?

A: When their lips are moving.
It is not appropriate for the entire Iranian cabinet and the president to accompany 15 ordinary men and women to display their release.

In that fact alone, reality comes unbidden to the intelligent mind which instructs us in complete absence of facts where the guilt actually lies.
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